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Sedge Shear wave potential today! ;)

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The weather and safety outlook for 15 July 2026.

There is a flying tip and an acronym index at the bottom of the report for those not understanding some of the weather jargon. ;)

15 July 2026

Good morning all you amazing Wild2fly people! What a super nic day at Sedge yesterday. Everybody got in some nice flights though it did switch off a bit earlier than expected. ;) Daniel taking the longest flight for the day not quite completing the big out and return but still managing 278km. Looks like the headwind on the last leg nailed him. :) https://www.xcontest.org/world/en/flights/detail:simontagnard/14.07.2026/08:31 15 flights over 200km (All from France - oh and they last the soccer semi-finals to Spain! ;) lol. 88 flights over 100km. Back in SA we have another CF sliding past the south of the country only effecting the SW parts. So very westerly flow along the GR region for most of the day with only the Wilderness corner sucking in some SW to WSW winds from lunchtime onwards. Some high base around today 3-4k but also lots of mixing with a strong gradient around - the B/S ration not favourable so Sedge looking pretty bumpy to me. However, it is also looking like a similar setup for that elusive shear wave phenomenon set-up for this afternoon. (See the xtra SkewT graph for Sedge below). So, for those that dare - happy hunting! ;) For those into calmer stuff I suggest looking at CP o PR - PR showing perhaps a tad more wind around lunchtime - though things seem to be cyclic. Enjoy! :)) Low tide this morning at 10:13 High tide is at 16:33. Sunrise was at 7:33 and setting at 17:39. Daylight of 10 hrs and 6min! (Summer is coming! :). Max temps today still a nice 19 degrees C in Wilderness! Have a lekker one everybody and as always, remember also to take a moment and reflect on God. :) That’s really what life is all about. (John 10:10. Rom 10:9. Eph 4:31-32.)

Todays flying tip: Of course arriving on site early, also gives you the advantage to see the day develop – allowing you make thermal and such assessments to plan your launch! ;)

Map top landing Site briefing here: https://wild2fly.co.za/index.php/weather-wilderness/weather-wilderness-history 

Did you know, we do CAA approved Mustache/Parakite introductions and conversions. :)

SA synoptic at 14:00 :)

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Cloud base for SA at 14:00. :)

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SA rain. ;)

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Vertical velocity and wind at 10k.

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Sedge SkewT :)

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Sedge SkewT with shear wave :)

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Sedge 3 day Overview. ;)

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Wilderness winds at its peak! ;)

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Wilderness cloud base :)

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Do you like reading flying related stuff? ;) Check out my old blog for some interesting fun and musings on life and flying around the tropical islands of Seychelles. http://wingsandwhalesharks.blogspot.com/

Wild2Fly weather report Acronym sheet


IOH – Indian Ocean High Pressure System
SAH – Southern Atlantic High Pressure system
LSH - Lesotho High Pressure System
B/S - Boyancy Shear ration
CB - Charlie Bravo, Aviation term for Thunderstorms
CT – Cape Town
CP – Cape Point
CF - Cold Front
CATS - Clear Air Turbulence
CoL - Cut of Low
GR - Garden Route
EL - East London
GE - Great Escarpment
LR – Lapse Rate
LH – Lions Head
SH – Signal Hill
SLP – Sir Lowries Pass
FB – False Bay
FH - Franschoek
RB - Rondebossie
PV – Porterville
PB - Picketberg
SB - Swartberg Pass
CP – CarPark
BH – Beach Hotel
WC – Western Cape
PE – Port Elizabeth
PA – Port Alfred
WWB - Wrong Way Bob
W – West
OD - Over development
Q's - Cumulous clouds
SW – South West
WSW – West South West etc
MIT - Metrology
MET - Meteoroly
VFR - Visual Flight Rules
FVR - For the dislexic - means same as above... :))
WYSIWIG - What You See Is What You Get.
SHPB - Southern High Pressure Belt
If I have missed anything let me know.

;)  

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