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The bowl could be fun this morning! :))

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The weather and safety outlook for Wednesday 5 February 2025.

There is an acronym index at the bottom of the report for those not understanding some of the weather jargon. ;)

5 February 2025

Good morning all you super cool Wild2fly people! :)) And another epic day for flying on the GR! Every site worked for a at least a little bit yesterday with the emphases on Sedge and PR. Some good instability at Sedge with nice climbs to base around 500m. Flight of the day undoubtedly goes to Tom Watkeys for flying from Serps to Sedge and then to Gerrickes before his bladder couldn’t stand it any longer. ;) lol. Good one Tom! :)) Well, today we have a CF doing the rounds, loads of CB's in the interior - plenty moisture flowing in from the north over SA and two Tropical cyclones int he Indian ocean (Vince and Taliah). So, plenty of weather action to keep you entertained! Back home a pretty hefty SAH is giving us a general SW flow for today. Though the CF passed by during the night there is a secondary front with a band of rain moving in from the SW around midday. This will produce a marked increase in the wind strength and will curb any flying for the day form the looks of it. So, the best chance will be during the course of the morning. There is some drizzle on the top of Wilderness and the flats to the mountains but I see the ocean side is more clear so there is a chance of some flying. The winds start off with a more W to NW direction but will gradually back to the SW during the morning - we are expecting around 10-15knts. And then that increase just before the rain gets here around midday. (See the Sedge and Wilderness snap shots below for a great overview of the days expected weather.) :) So, Hotel, CP and PR would be the spots - the bowl for the M pilots will probably be the place. Watch that rain though. ;) Oh, and there could also be a drop in the wind strength before the stronger pulse moves in with the associated mixing taking place so keep tabs of things while up there. High this morning at 8:30 and low at 15:00 - so not the best time period for us. ;) Tomorrow a SE day form the looks of things. Enjoy, be vigilant up there and remember to take a moment to reflect on God - that’s what life is really all about. :)) (Isaiah 7:14, Micah 5:2, John 3:16, Rom 12:9-21, Gal 5:13-26)

Beach Hotel Site Briefing link here: https://wild2fly.co.za/index.php/weather-wilderness/weather-wilderness-forecast 

SA synoptic and wind :)

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Cloud base for SA at 14:00. :)

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Vertical velocity at 10k. :))

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Rain in the afternoon :)

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Sedge Snap Shot ;)

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Sedge T-Phi

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Wilderness wind. :)

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Wilderness snap shot! :)

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Wilderness cloud base! ;)

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Do you like reading flying related stuff? ;) Check out my old blog for some interesting fun and musings on life and flying around the tropical islands of Seychelles. http://wingsandwhalesharks.blogspot.com/

Wild2Fly weather report Acronym sheet


IOH – Indian Ocean High Pressure System
SAH – Southern Atlantic High Pressure system
LSH - Lesotho High Pressure System
B/S - Boyancy Shear ration
CB - Charlie Bravo, Aviation term for Thunderstorms
CT – Cape Town
CP – Cape Point
CF - Cold Front
CATS - Clear Air Turbulence
GR - Garden Route
EL - East London
GE - Great Escarpment
LR – Lapse Rate
LH – Lions Head
SH – Signal Hill
SLP – Sir Lowries Pass
FB – False Bay
FH - Franschoek
RB - Rondebossie
PV – Porterville
PB - Picketberg
SB - Swartberg Pass
CP – CarPark
BH – Beach Hotel
WC – Western Cape
PE – Port Elizabeth
PA – Port Alfred
WWB - Wrong Way Bob
W – West
OD - Over development
Q's - Cumulous clouds
SW – South West
WSW – West South West etc
MIT - Metrology
MET - Meteoroly
VFR - Visual Flight Rules
FVR - For the dislexic - means same as above... :))

If I have missed anything let me know.

;)  

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